Izinga lokungasebenzi lizokhuphuka kakhulu kulo nyaka, amazinga enzalo kufanele ehle futhi!
01/12/2023
Imakethe yezabasebenzi iyaphola
NgoJanuwari 6, i-Bureau of Labor Statistics ikhiphe idatha ekhombisa ukuthi ama-US nonfarm payrolls akhuphuke ngo-223,000 ngoDisemba, izinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ekukhuleni okungekuhle ngoDisemba 2020.
Umthombo wesithombe: IZIBALO ZASE-US ZEZIBALO ZABASEBENZI
Ngemva kwesikhathi esingangonyaka sokunyuka kwezinga elinolaka, imakethe yezabasebenzi igcina ikhombisa izimpawu zokuphola, futhi isibalo sabasebenzi abasha sehle saba phansi ngeminyaka emibili.
Njengoba sishilo ekuqaleni, okugxilwe kakhulu ekutheni i-Fed izokwehlisa nini amanani ngokulandelayo yimakethe yezabasebenzi.
Idatha ye-nonfarm payrolls kaDisemba ibonisa ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwezinga le-Fed kukhokhwe.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, okujabulisa imakethe, ukwehla kwamandla emali kwamaholo kwehle kakhulu ngoDisemba - amaholo amaphakathi ngehora akhuphuke ngo-0.3% nje unyaka nonyaka, futhi amaholo ehora akhule ngezinga eliphansi kakhulu lonyaka nonyaka kusukela ngo-Agasti 2021.
Esithangamini nabezindaba ngemuva kokukhuphuka kwezinga likaDisemba, uSihlalo we-Fed uPowell ugcizelele ukuthi amaholo ayinkinga ebalulekile ekulweni nokwehla kwamandla emali ngo-2023.
Futhi amaminithi omhlangano kaDisemba akhishwe ngoLwesithathu olwedlule, abonisa ukuthi abahlanganyeli be-FOMC bakholelwa ukuthi ukugcina ukukhula okuphezulu kwamaholo kusekela ukwehla kwamandla emali okuyinhloko emkhakheni wezinsizakalo (ngaphandle kwezindlu), futhi ngakho-ke kuyadingeka ukuqhubekisela phambili ukukhuthaza ibhalansi phakathi kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo ku imakethe yezabasebenzi ukuze kwehliswe ingcindezi kumthethosivivinywa wamaholo.
Ukupholisa okuphawulekayo kokwehla kwamandla emali kwamaholo kunikeza ubufakazi obusha bokuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuhamba kancane futhi kuvula indlela yokuthi i-Federal Reserve ibambezele ijubane lokunyuka kwezinga lenzalo.
Izinga lokungasebenzi lizokhuphuka kakhulu
Nakuba imakethe yezabasebenzi iphole kakhulu, ukuzuza kwemisebenzi engu-223,000 kudlule okulindelwe yimakethe enyangeni yesishiyagalombili ilandelana.
Kodwa-ke, ngemuva kwalo mbiko obonakala “uqinile” mayelana nokukhokhelwa kwabasebenzi abangewona amapulazi, akunakwa ukuthi ukukhula kwemisebenzi kuwumphumela wokuthi abantu abaningi babambe imisebenzi eminingi.
Ngo-December, kwakunezisebenzi zesikhathi esigcwele ezingu-132 299 000 e-United States, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, inani lezisebenzi zesikhashana landa ngo-679 000, futhi inani labantu abanemisebenzi eminingi landa ngo-370 000.
Ezinyangeni eziyishumi ezedlule, isibalo sabasebenzi abaqashwe ngokugcwele sehle ngo-288,000, kanti isibalo sabasebenzi betoho senyuke ngo-886,000.
Lokhu kusho ukuthi inani labantu abahola izisebenzi ezingezona amapulazi bekufanele ngabe libe libi ngoDisemba, ngokusekelwe enanini langempela labantu abathola imisebenzi emisha!
Futhi umbiko “owenziwe ihaba” wokukhokhelwa kwama-nonfarm ubonakala uphuphuthekise abantu, umnotho kungenzeka ukhombise izimpawu zokuqala zokuwohloka komnotho.
Uma ubheka idatha yomlando kukhombisa ukuthi imakethe yezabasebenzi ngokwayo iyinkomba yokusalela emuva nokuthi ukunyuka okusheshayo kwenani lokungasebenzi kuvame ukwenzeka lapho izinga lenzalo likhuphuka noma inqubomgomo yemali ishintsha ukuze inciphise izinga.
Lokhu kusho ukuthi izinga lokungasebenzi lingase likhuphuke kakhulu phakathi nonyaka ngemuva kokuba i-Fed iyeke ukukhulisa amanani enzalo.
Umthombo wesithombe: Bloomberg
Osomnotho baseBank of America baze babikezela ukuthi izinga labantu abangasebenzi lizokhuphuka lisuka ku-3.7% liye ku-5.3% kulo nyaka, okungaba abantu abayizigidi ezingu-19 abangasebenzi!
Amazinga emali ebolekiwe kulindeleke ukuthi ehle
Ngenxa yokwehla kwezinga lemakethe yezabasebenzi kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali, ukubheja kwemakethe ngokukhuphuka kwezinga le-Fed kwehlile, njengoba imakethe manje ilindele ukukhuphuka kwamaphuzu angama-25 ngoFebhuwari, okungama-75.7%.
Umthombo wesithombe: Ithuluzi le-CME FedWatch
Isivuno sebhondi yase-US yeminyaka eyi-10 nayo yehle ngaphezu kwamaphoyinti angama-30 ngesonto, futhi amanani emali mboleko kulindeleke ukuthi ehle kakhulu.
Njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kuqina, amehlo e-Fed azoba semakethe yezabasebenzi ezigabeni zakamuva.
U-Ellen Zentner, isazi sezomnotho esiyinhloko kwaMorgan Stanley, naye ugcizelele ukuthi imakethe yezabasebenzi kungenzeka ibe inkomba ebalulekile elandelayo, hhayi i-CPI.
Njengoba imakethe yezabasebenzi iphola, ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzokwehla ngokushesha, futhi imakethe yezindlu ezibolekiwe izoqala ukusimama.
Isitatimende: Lesi sihloko sihlelwe ngabakwa-AAA LENDINGS;ezinye zezithombe zithathwe ku-inthanethi, indawo yesayithi ayimelwe futhi ngeke iphinde iphrintwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukhona ubungozi emakethe futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kufanele kuqaphe.Lesi sihloko asihlanganisi iseluleko somuntu siqu sokutshala izimali, futhi asicabangi izinjongo ezithile zokutshala izimali, isimo sezezimali noma izidingo zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufanele bacabangele ukuthi noma imiphi imibono, imibono noma iziphetho eziqukethwe lapha zifanele isimo sabo esithile.Tshala imali ngokufanele ngokuzifaka engozini.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jan-13-2023