Ukhetho lwamaphakathi nonyaka selusondele.Ingabe kuzoba nomthelela kumazinga enzalo?
11/14/2022
Kuleli sonto, i-United States yethule omunye wemicimbi ebaluleke kakhulu yango-2022 - ukhetho lwaphakathi nonyaka.Ukhetho lwalo nyaka lubizwa ngokuthi "ukhetho lwaphakathi nonyaka" lukaBiden futhi lubhekwa "njengempi yangaphambi kwempi" okhethweni lukamongameli waseMelika lwango-2024.
Esikhathini sokukhuphuka kwamandla emali, amanani aphezulu kawoyela kanye nosongo lokuwohloka komnotho, lolu khetho luboshelwe eminyakeni emibili ezayo emandleni futhi imakethe izothinteka.
Pho uvota kanjani okhethweni lwaphakathi nonyaka?Yiziphi izinto ezibalulekile kulolu khetho?Futhi kuzoba namuphi umthelela?
Luyini ukhetho lwaphakathi nonyaka?
Ngaphansi koMthethosisekelo wase-US, ukhetho lukamongameli lubanjwa njalo eminyakeni emine kanti ukhetho lwekhongolose lubanjwa njalo eminyakeni emibili.Ukhetho lweCongressional, olubanjwe phakathi nesikhathi sikamongameli, lubizwa ngokuthi "ukhetho lwaphakathi nonyaka."
Ngokuvamile, ukhetho lwaphakathi nonyaka lubanjwa ngoLwesibili wokuqala ngoNovemba.Ngakho ukhetho lwalo nyaka lwaphakathi nonyaka luzobanjwa ngoNovemba 8.
Ukhetho lwamaphakathi nonyaka lubandakanya ukhetho lwenhlangano, lwesifunda, nolwendawo.Ukhetho olubaluleke kakhulu olokhetho lwamalungu eCongress, okuwukukhethwa kwezihlalo eHouse of Representatives kanye neSenate.
INdlu yabaMeli isebenzisa umbono wesibalo sabantu esihlobene nomphakathi futhi inezihlalo ezingama-435.Ilungu ngalinye leNdlu yabaMeli limele isifunda esithile esifundeni salo futhi lisebenza iminyaka emibili, okusho ukuthi kufanele bonke baphinde bakhethwe kulolu khetho lwaphakathi nonyaka.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, iSenate, imele ibhalansi yezifunda futhi inezihlalo eziyi-100.Zonke izifundazwe zase-US ezingama-50, kungakhathalekile ukuthi zingakanani, zingakhetha izigele ezimbili ezizomela izwe lazo.
Ukhetho lwamaphakathi nonyaka aluhlangene nehhovisi likamengameli, kodwa imiphumela ixhumene nohlelo lukaMengameli uBiden lokubusa kanye nezomnotho eminyakeni emibili ezayo.
Sinjani isimo samanje sokhetho?
I-US inohlelo lwezepolitiki lokuhlukaniswa kwamandla lapho imigomo emikhulu kamongameli idinga ukugunyazwa yikhongolose.Ngakho-ke, uma iqembu eliphethe lihluleka ukulawula zombili lezi zindlu zikaKhongolose, imigomo kamengameli izophazamiseka kakhulu.
Isibonelo, amaDemocrats njengamanje aphethe izihlalo eziningi kunamaRiphabhulikhi kuzo zombili izindlu zeCongress, kodwa umkhawulo phakathi kwamaqembu womabili yizihlalo eziyi-12 kuphela - zombili izindlu zeCongress okwamanje zilawulwa amaDemocrats, nakuba umkhawulo umncane kakhulu.
Futhi ngokuya ngedatha yakamuva evela ku-FiveThirtyEight, isilinganiso sokugunyaza se-Republican Party manje sesiphezulu kunese-Democratic Party;ngaphezu kwalokho, isilinganiso samanje sokugunyazwa kukaMongameli Biden siphansi cishe kunabo bonke omongameli baseMelika ngesikhathi esifanayo.
U-46% wabantu uthi maningi amathuba okuthi basekele amaRepublican okhethweni, u-45.2% kungenzeka ukuthi usekele amaDemocrats (FiveThirtyEight)
Ngakho-ke, uma iqembu elibusayo lamanje lilahlekelwa ukulawula iSenethi noma iNdlu kulolu khetho lwamaphakathi nonyaka, ukuqaliswa kwezinqubomgomo zikaMongameli Biden kuzobhekana nezingqinamba;uma zombili lezi zindlu zilahlekelwa, uMongameli ofuna ukwethula umthethosivivinywa angavinjelwa noma abhekane nesimo sokulahlekelwa amandla.
Uma izinqubomgomo zingakwazi ukusetshenziswa ngempumelelo, kuzophinde kubeke i-Biden kanye neDemocratic Party esimweni esingesihle okhethweni lukamongameli lwango-2024, ukuze ukhetho lwaphakathi nonyaka luvame ukubonwa njengokhetho lukamongameli oluzayo "lokuqondisa umoya."
Iyini imiphumela?
Ngokocwaningo olusha lwe-ABC, ukwehla kwamandla emali kanye nomnotho yizinto ezibakhathaza kakhulu abavoti ngaphambi kokhetho lwamaphakathi nonyaka.Cishe ingxenye yabantu baseMelika ibalule lezi zindaba ezimbili njengezibaluleke kakhulu ekunqumeni indlela yokuvota.
Abaningi bakholelwa ukuthi umphumela walolu khetho lwaphakathi nonyaka uzoba nomthelela ekuqondisweni kwenqubomgomo ye-Fed, ikakhulukazi ngoba ukulawula ukwehla kwamandla emali kungenye yezinto ezifezwe nguhulumeni ezibaluleke kakhulu kulesi sigaba.
Idatha yangoJuni ikhombisa ukuthi izinqubomgomo ze-Fed hawkish zingase zikhuphule isilinganiso sokugunyazwa kwe-Biden, kuyilapho izinqubomgomo eziqinile zingehlisa isilinganiso sokugunyazwa kukamongameli.
Ngakho, kuhlangene neqiniso lokuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuseseqhulwini ezingqondweni zabavoti, ukugcizelela ekulweni nokwehla kwamandla emali ngaphambi kokhetho lwaphakathi nonyaka kungase kungabi “okungalungile.”
Futhi lapho kubhekene nokwehla kwamandla emali, ngenkathi abaphathi be-Biden begcizelele ukuthi ukulwa nokwehla kwamandla emali kuyinto ehamba phambili, ngakolunye uhlangothi, kuthathe izinyathelo ezihlukahlukene ezizuzisa ukwehla kwamandla emali.
Uma lezi zikweletu zidlula, cishe zizonyusa ukwehla kwamandla emali, okuholela ekuqinisweni okwengeziwe kwenqubomgomo yezimali yi-Federal Reserve.
Lokhu kusho ukuthi izilinganiso zenzalo zizoqhubeka zikhuphuka futhi ukuphela kokukhuphuka kwezinga le-Fed kuzoba phezulu.
Isitatimende: Lesi sihloko sihlelwe ngabakwa-AAA LENDINGS;ezinye zezithombe zithathwe ku-inthanethi, indawo yesayithi ayimelwe futhi ngeke iphinde iphrintwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukhona ubungozi emakethe futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kufanele kuqaphe.Lesi sihloko asihlanganisi iseluleko somuntu siqu sokutshala izimali, futhi asicabangi izinjongo ezithile zokutshala izimali, isimo sezezimali noma izidingo zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufanele bacabangele ukuthi noma imiphi imibono, imibono noma iziphetho eziqukethwe lapha zifanele isimo sabo esithile.Tshala imali ngokufanele ngokuzifaka engozini.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Nov-15-2022