Iqiniso mayelana nemakethe yezabasebenzi, esashisa kakhulu ngemva kokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo emihlanu
10/14/2022
Idatha ye-Nonfarm payrolls idlule obekulindelekile futhi
NgoLwesihlanu, umbiko we-nonfarm payroll kaSepthemba ukhishwe, futhi bekungumbiko "oqinile" wokuqashwa nganoma yisiphi isilinganiso.
Ukukhokhelwa kwe-non-farm kukhuphuke ngo-263,000 ngoSepthemba, ngaphezu kwalokho okulindelwe yimakethe ku-255,000 futhi izinga lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi lehla ngokungalindelekile laya ku-3.5%, izinga eliphansi kakhulu eminyakeni engu-50, futhi lingaphansi kokulindelwe yimakethe ngo-3.7%.
Ngemva kokukhishwa kwalo mbiko, amasheya ase-US awela kakhulu futhi isivuno sebhondi yase-US yeminyaka eyi-10 yaze yafinyelela phezulu, ikhuphukela ngaphezu kwe-3.9% ngesikhathi esisodwa.
Idatha enhle yezomnotho iphinde yaphenduka izindaba ezimbi emakethe - i-Fed yayihlose ukunciphisa isidingo sabasebenzi, okwakuzopholisa ukukhula kwamaholo futhi ekugcineni kwehle ukwehla kwamandla emali.
Kodwa-ke, lo mbiko ubonisa ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwezinga le-Fed ngokusobala "akuzange kuphumelele" futhi akuzange kupholise imakethe yezemisebenzi, okuphinde kwaqinisa ukulindela kwe-Fed kokunye ukukhuphuka kwamaphuzu angu-75 ngoNovemba.
Ezinyangeni ezimbalwa nje, kusukela ngoMashi kuya kuSepthemba, i-Fed inyuse inzalo ngenani eliphelele le-300bp, kodwa imakethe yezabasebenzi iye yaphuza ukupholisa.
Kungani imakethe yezabasebenzi isaqinile ngemuva kokwenyuka kwezinga okuhlanu okulandelanayo?Isizathu esikhulu ukubambezeleka kwedatha.
Iqiniso mayelana nezinombolo "eziqinile".
Kunezizathu ezimbili zedatha enjalo yokuqashwa eqinile.
Okunye ukuthi abantu abangazimisele ngokusebenza abafakiwe ekubalweni kwezinga lokungasebenzi: NgokoMnyango Wezabasebenzi, cishe abantu abayizigidi ezimbili abakwazanga ukusebenza ngoSepthemba ngenxa yalolu bhubhane - lesi sibalo asifakiwe ezibalweni zokuqashwa. .
Okwesibili, ukubala kabili: ngokuvamile kunezindlela ezimbili zezibalo zenani labantu abasebenzayo, izinhlolovo zemizi kanye nezinhlolovo zokusungulwa.
Ucwaningo lwasekhaya lususelwa enanini labantu, uma umndeni unabantu ababili abasebenzayo, kukhona abantu ababili abasebenzayo;inhlolovo yokusungulwa, ngakolunye uhlangothi, isekelwe emisebenzini, uma umuntu oyedwa esebenza emabhizinisini amabili ngesikhathi esisodwa, kunabantu ababili abaqashiwe.
Okubalulekile ukuthi imininingwane ye-nonfarm payroll icaphuna idatha yocwaningo lokusungulwa, futhi ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezedlule, ukukhula kwamathuba omsebenzi ocwaningweni lokusungulwa kwemisebenzi kuye kwadlula kude inhlolovo yemizi.
Lokhu kusho ukuthi ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezedlule, inani labantu abasebenza imisebenzi engaphezu kowodwa liye landa, futhi abanye balabo abaqashiwe “babalwa ngokuphindwe kabili.”
Kusukela kulokhu okungenhla, kuyacaca ukuthi imakethe yezabasebenzi ngemuva kwedatha ye-nonfarm payroll ingase ingashisi njengoba ibonakala.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukukhula kweholo labasebenzi abangewona amapulazi ngoSepthemba kube ukukhuphuka okuncane kakhulu kusukela ngo-April '21, futhi ushintsho oluncane kule datha lungase luphawuleke kakhulu njengoba ukukhula komsebenzi kuqhubeka kuhamba kancane.
Imakethe yezabasebenzi ibonise izimpawu zobuthakathaka, kodwa izinkomba eziyisihluthulelo zendabuko azibonisi lezi zenzakalo ngesikhathi ngenxa yokusalela okuphawulekayo kwezibalo zokuqoqwa kwedatha.
Singaphinde sibheke idatha yomlando.Njengoba ungabona eshadini elingezansi, idatha ye-nonfarm payroll inokusabela "okufiphele" ekukhuphukeni kwezinga le-Fed.
Umthombo wedatha: Bloomberg
Ngokomlando, ukunyuka kwamanani okuningana kuye kwakwazi ukudambisa inkambiso ekhuphukayo emalini ekhokhayo angewona amapulazi, kodwa ukuhlehliswa kwalo mkhuba cishe kuhlale kuhlukanisiwe kusukela emjikelezweni wokwenyuka kwezinga.
Lokhu kuphakamisa ukuthi idatha yokuqashwa nayo isabela ngokusheshisa ekukhuphukeni kwezinga le-Fed.
Ukuthi idatha ye-nonfarm payrolls izokuqondisa kanjani ukukhuphuka kwezinga
Ukwenyusa amanani ngokushesha kungaba nomthelela omubi emnothweni, futhi i-Fed ikwazi kahle lokho, kodwa uPowell ucaphuna izinga eliphansi kakhulu labantu abangasebenzi kuzo zonke izithangami njengobufakazi obubaluleke kakhulu bokuthi umnotho awukho engcupheni yokuwohloka komnotho.
Njengoba sishilo ekuqaleni, ukukhuphuka kwezinga le-Fed kube nomthelela ongemuhle futhi akukakaminzwa ngokugcwele emnothweni.
Kodwa-ke, ukwehla kokukhula kwemisebenzi nakho kuzoba kancane kancane, njengoba imakethe yezemisebenzi ilandela ukuphola kancane kancane komnotho, okuholela ekulinganisweni okulandelayo kokwehla kwamandla emali.
Kuleli qophelo, i-Fed futhi kungenzeka yehlise noma imise ijubane lokunyuka kwezinga lenzalo.
Kodwa-ke, i-Fed iyaqhubeka nokunaka kakhulu umbiko we-nonfarm payrolls kanye nenani eliyinhloko le-PCE, futhi inkambiso ye-September nonfarm payrolls iyaqhubeka nokuhlinzeka ngesisekelo sokunyuka kwezinga le-75bp ngoNovemba.
Izinga lenzalo lizophinde likhuphuke, futhi abathenga izindlu abadinga imali ebolekiwe kufanele baqale kusenesikhathi ukuze bagweme ukuphuthelwa isikhathi esikahle sokuthola amanani aphansi.
Isitatimende: Lesi sihloko sihlelwe ngabakwa-AAA LENDINGS;ezinye zezithombe zithathwe ku-inthanethi, indawo yesayithi ayimelwe futhi ngeke iphinde iphrintwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukhona ubungozi emakethe futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kufanele kuqaphe.Lesi sihloko asihlanganisi iseluleko somuntu siqu sokutshala izimali, futhi asicabangi izinjongo ezithile zokutshala izimali, isimo sezezimali noma izidingo zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufanele bacabangele ukuthi noma imiphi imibono, imibono noma iziphetho eziqukethwe lapha zifanele isimo sabo esithile.Tshala imali ngokufanele ngokuzifaka engozini.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Oct-15-2022