Ungalokothi Uzame Ukuphikisa I-Federal Reserve
08/13/2022
Imininingwane yakamuva evela eMnyangweni Wezabasebenzi ikhombise ukuqashwa kwabantu okungezona epulazini kukhuphuke ngo-528,000 ngoJulayi, nokuyinto engcono kakhulu kunelindelwe yimakethe yezi-250,000.Futhi izinga lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi lehle laya ku-3.5%, libuyela emazingeni angaphambi kobhubhane ngoFebhuwari 2020.
(Umthombo ovela ku-CNBC)
Kubonakala sengathi idatha yokuma okuhle empeleni kwaba igalelo emakethe, eyayilahlekelwe ukulwa kwayo ne-Federal Reserve.
Wenzani uMakethe ukuze amelane?
Kusukela ngonyaka odlule, i-Fed yenza kabi izikhathi ezimbili zilandelana, okokuqala ngokubukela phansi ukuphikelela kokwehla kwamandla emali bese ithatha ngokweqile ikhono layo lokuyinciphisa ngamanani enzalo aphezulu.
Ekupheleni konyaka odlule, uPowell wayesagcizelela ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali okuphakeme kwakungokwesikhashana.
Izimakethe ziya ngokuya zibheka ukuthi i-Fed kungenzeka yenza iphutha lesithathu -- ukuthembela kakhulu ekuqashweni njengegeyiji yomnotho kanye nokubukela phansi isikhathi sokuwohloka komnotho.
Ngaphambi koLwesine olwedlule (mhla zizi-4 kuNcwaba, 2022), izikhulu eziyisithupha ze-Fed zazethula izinkulumo “ze-Hawkish” ngezikhathi ezehlukene, zithumela umyalezo ocacile ezimakethe “ezingawabukeli phansi amandla empi ye-Fed nokwehla kwamandla emali”.
Uchungechunge lwezinkulumo ezihlangene luhloselwe ukuxwayisa izimakethe ukuthi ziyeke ukuba ama-naysayers ne-Fed.
Into ethokozisayo ukuthi izimakethe bezilokhu zinganyakaziswa yizinkulumo futhi seziqala ukubheja ukuthi i-Fed "izonikela" maduze lapho ibhekene nezingozi zokuwohloka komnotho futhi ivule indlela eqinisayo, ngenkathi ibikezela ukuthi kuzoba nokukhuphuka kwezinga elincane. ngokushesha nje ngomhlangano kaSepthemba.
Isimo sibonakala siphendukela ku-"i-Fed ayifuni ngokumelene nezimakethe" kusukela "ungalwi ne-Fed" kancane kancane.
Ngaphansi kokuqondiswa kwalokhu okulindelekile, amasheya aqala ukukhuphuka futhi isivuno sebhondi saqala ukwehla.Izimakethe zenza ngokuphambene nomlayezo we-Fed, futhi ngomqondo othile ziphikisana ne-Fed - ijaji lokugcina kuyoba idatha yezomnotho.
I-Fed iyawina.
Kungakhathalekile ukuthi yiziphi izici zedatha imakethe iqala ukubuyela eqinisweni njengoba kukhishwe idatha kaJulayi engeyona eyepulazi.
(Umthombo ovela ku-inthanethi)
Phezu kwalokho, isibalo semisebenzi eyengezwe ngoMeyi nangoJuni sabuyekezwa saba ngu-28,000 ngaphezu kwalokhu okubikiwe ngaphambilini, okuphakamisa ukuthi isidingo sabasebenzi sihlala siqinile futhi sidambisa kakhulu ukwesaba kokuwohloka komnotho.
Sekukonke, imakethe yezabasebenzi eshisayo ivule indlela yokuthi i-Fed igcine indlela yayo yokwenyuka kwezinga elinolaka.
Ngemva kokuba i-Fed ithumele isignali yayo yokuqinisa eqinile emashumini eminyaka, imakethe yaqhubeka nebhizinisi layo njengenjwayelo, yaze yasiza imakethe yamasheya ukukhombisa ukusebenza kwabo okuhle kakhulu eminyakeni yamuva.
Ezimakethe kungalindelekile, ngenkathi iqala ukubheja ekushintsheni kwenqubomgomo ye-Fed, iphusha amasheya phezulu kanye nesivuno soMgcinimafa sehle, isidingo esengeziwe sagqugquzelwa, kunciphisa ubungozi bokuwohloka komnotho kanye nokunciphisa imizamo ye-Fed yokulawula ukwehla kwamandla emali ngesikhathi esifanayo.
Ngemuva kombiko okhishiwe, amathuba okukhuphuka kwe-75 bp ku-Fed ' Umhlangano wangoSepthemba unyuke wafinyelela ku-68%, uphakeme kakhulu kunamathuba okunyuka kwesilinganiso se-bp ngo-50 njengoba kwakubikezelwe.(Ithuluzi le-CME FedWatch)
Idatha okungeyona eyepulazi yenze imakethe yaba nethemba ngokwedlulele -- okulindelwe ukuthi kunyuke amanani engeziwe kukhuphuke ngendlela emangalisayo eqinisekisa ukuthi i-Wall Street mantra ayilokothi izame ngokumelene ne-Fed.
Obani Abadukise Izimakethe?
Njengoba sike sasho ezihlokweni ezedlule, inqubomgomo ye-Fed ibilokhu ifuna ibhalansi phakathi “kokwehla kwamandla emali” kanye “nezinga lokungasebenzi”.
Kusobala ukuthi i-Fed ikhethe "ukulawula ubungozi bokwehla kwamandla emali" esikhundleni "sokudela umnotho".Umphumela uyoba ukudela umnotho, nakuba ngokwezinga elihlukile.
Okudingayo ukwazi ukuthi i-Fed kuzodingeka ihambe ngokushesha endleleni yokuqinisa ngaphambi kokuba ukwehla kwamandla emali kubuyele lapho kunesimo esifanele khona.
I-Fed ingase isondele ekukhuphuleni izilinganiso zenzalo ngo-75 bp ngoSepthemba.Manje ake silindele ukusebenza okulandelayo kwe-CPI.
Isitatimende: Lesi sihloko sihlelwe ngabakwa-AAA LENDINGS;ezinye zezithombe zithathwe ku-inthanethi, indawo yesayithi ayimelwe futhi ngeke iphinde iphrintwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukhona ubungozi emakethe futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kufanele kuqaphe.Lesi sihloko asihlanganisi iseluleko somuntu siqu sokutshala izimali, futhi asicabangi izinjongo ezithile zokutshala izimali, isimo sezezimali noma izidingo zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufanele bacabangele ukuthi noma imiphi imibono, imibono noma iziphetho eziqukethwe lapha zifanele isimo sabo esithile.Tshala imali ngokufanele ngokuzifaka engozini.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Aug-13-2022