Sekuyisikhathi sokuba Rehlolisisatyena Ukulindela Ukuwohloka Komnotho
07/13/2022
Izinguquko ezinkulu ngesikhathi esifushane
Njengoba i-Federal Reserve iqinisa inqubomgomo yezimali ukulwa nokwehla kwamandla emali okubi kakhulu eminyakeni engama-40, umnotho wase-US usonqenqemeni lokuwohloka komnotho.
Abatshalizimali sebekwesaba kakhulu ukwehla komnotho kunokwehla kwamandla emali kuleli sonto eledlule.
Iningi lamabhange amakhulu e-Wall Street akhiphe izixwayiso zokuwohloka komnotho, futhi u-Wells Fargo waze wathi i-United States iwile ekuwohlokeni komnotho.
Njengoba imakethe yamasheya isheshisa ukwehla kwayo, imakethe yebhondi yahambela phezulu ngokuhlanganyela, futhi inkomba yedola yafinyelela phezulu eminyakeni engu-20, ukuhweba ngokulindelwe kokuwohloka komnotho kwabusa.
Ngokuqala kokuwohloka komnotho, amabhizinisi kanye nomnotho kubhekene nengcindezi ekhulayo;izazi zezomnotho zikholelwa ukuthi imakethe yezabasebenzi ilahlekelwa amandla, kuyilapho idatha ye-non-farm payroll ngoLwesihlanu ingaba yimbangela yokuntengantenga kwezimakethe.
Kodwa-ke, ukuvunwa kwebhondi yase-US kwehle kwabuyela ngaphezulu kuka-3% ngemuva koLwesihlanu, futhi amathuba okuthi akhuphuke ngamaphoyinti angama-75 ngoJulayi akhuphuke afinyelela ku-92.4%.
Konke ngenxa yokuthi le datha isekude ekubeni buthaka njengoba abantu abaningi bebelindele,
kodwa kuvela ukuthi muhle kakhulu.
Kwenziwa kanjani qonda lombiko ?
NgoLwesihlanu uMnyango wezabaSebenzi ubike ukuthi kudaleke amathuba emisebenzi amasha angu-372,000 ngoJuni kanti izinga labantu abangasebenzi likumaphesenti angu-3.6, phakathi kwamanani aphansi kunawo wonke.
Pho kungani lo mbiko uguqule izimo zemakethe ngesikhathi esifushane?Kuhehe kanjani ukunaka okukhulu kuzo zonke izinhlangothi?
Siyazi ukuthi umgomo ombaxambili we-Fed ukugcina ukuzinza kwentengo nokuqinisekisa ukuqashwa okuphezulu, ngakho izinqubomgomo ze-Fed bezizama ukulinganisa phakathi “kokwehla kwamandla emali” kanye “nezinga lokungasebenzi”.
Kodwa-ke, njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali manje sekuphakeme kakhulu, okuhamba phambili kwenqubomgomo ye-Fed ukunciphisa ukwehla kwamandla emali ngezindleko zemisebenzi nokukhula ngezinga elithile.
Nakuba “izinga lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi” liwukukhathazeka okukhulu kwe-Fed, liyinkomba yezomnotho exegayo.Kuthatha isikhathi ukuthi imakethe yemisebenzi ihlanganise izinga labantu abangasebenzi.Ngakho-ke, ama-payrolls okungewona amapulazi athathwa njengezinkomba eziphambili zezinga lokungasebenzi futhi akhombisa ukuthi umnotho uhamba kanjani ngezinga elithile.
Njengoba kushiwo ezihlokweni ezedlule, imakethe isesimweni lapho izindaba ezinhle ze-ecodata nomic zilingana nezimbi.Imininingwane engeyona eyepulazi ingaphezu kwalokho ebesikulindele, okukhombisa ukuthi umnotho awubuyeli ekuwohlokeni komnotho ngenxa yokuqina komnotho;kodwa-ke, umphumela oqondile kakhulu ukuthi i-Fed izoba nobudedengu ekukhuphuleni izilinganiso zenzalo.
Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi kunesibalo esibalulekile phakathi kwamaholo angewona amapulazi kanye nezinga lokungasebenzi: lapho ukukhokhelwa okungewona amapulazi kuhlala kungaphezu kuka-200,000, imakethe yezabasebenzi ibhekwa njengenamandla kakhulu.
Ama-payrolls angewona amapulazi abe ngaphezu kwezinga le-200,000 kusukela ngo-2021, okunikeza i-Fed isibindi sokuqhubeka nokukhuphula amanani ngobudlova.
Ngakho-ke uma sibheka le datha ezinyangeni ezimbalwa ezizayo, noma yini engaphezu kwe-200,000 ishiya ngokungangabazeki ukuthi i-Fed izoshintsha umqondo wayo: i-Fed icabanga ukuthi manje ingakwazi ukungazinaki imakethe Yezabasebenzi futhi ibeke konke ukunaka kwayo emalini emali.
Okulindelekile of i r ukuhwebelana kungase kube "ngaphambi kwesikhathi kakhulu"
Ngemuva kokukhishwa kwedatha kuma-payrolls angewona amapulazi, amasheya ase-US negolide akhuphuka kancane, kodwa idola lawa kancane.
Kodwa-ke, ngalesi sikhathi esibucayi, kube nokuguquguquka okuncane kwemakethe okungahambisani nedatha ebalulekile.
Okubangela lokhu empeleni umdlalo phakathi "kokwesaba ukuwohloka komnotho" kanye "ne-hawkish Fed eyengeziwe", futhi imakethe ayizolile njengoba ibonakala, kodwa igcwele ukuncintisana.
Ukukhuphuka kwamaphuzu angama-75 kule nyanga (Julayi 28) kuphonswa phezu kwamatshe, futhi imakethe yemisebenzi eqinile iye yasekela i-Fed ukuqinisa izinyathelo zokunciphisa izindleko.
Nakuba ukuhweba kwangaphambilini kwemakethe ngokulindelwe kokwehla komnotho kungase kube “ngaphambi kwesikhathi”, kusobala ukuthi imininingwane yokukhokhelwa okungeyona eyepulazi ikudambisile okwesikhashana ukwesaba kwabantu ngokwehla komnotho.Nakuba umnotho ubonise izimpawu zokwehla, zonke izinkulumo mayelana nokuwohloka komnotho manje sezingaphambi kwesikhathi futhi azidambi ukwesaba kokukhuphuka kwamazinga abukhali yi-Fed.
Ukubheja ezimakethe ekukhuphukeni kwezinga le-Fed sekuqala ukukhuphuka, ngezinga lezibikezelo zeqa ngaphezu kwamaphesenti angu-3.6 kwikota yokuqala yonyaka ozayo.
Ukuwohloka komnotho kwangaphambilini kungase kube i-alamu engamanga, kodwa i-Fed isadinga ukuzwela ukwehla komnotho kanye nesimo sezimali esiqinile.
Mhlawumbe izimakethe zizoyeka ukwethuka kuphela lapho i-FED iqala ukwethuka.
Isitatimende: Lesi sihloko sihlelwe ngabakwa-AAA LENDINGS;ezinye zezithombe zithathwe ku-inthanethi, indawo yesayithi ayimelwe futhi ngeke iphinde iphrintwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukhona ubungozi emakethe futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kufanele kuqaphe.Lesi sihloko asihlanganisi iseluleko somuntu siqu sokutshala izimali, futhi asicabangi izinjongo ezithile zokutshala izimali, isimo sezezimali noma izidingo zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufanele bacabangele ukuthi noma imiphi imibono, imibono noma iziphetho eziqukethwe lapha zifanele isimo sabo esithile.Tshala imali ngokufanele ngokuzifaka engozini.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jul-16-2022