Is Ukwehla kwamandla emali As Fierce As A Tiger?
It May Not Be As Su-cary As You Think
06/15/2022
Ukwehla kwamandla emali t phonsa amanzi abandayo futhi!I-CPI Idlula Obekulindelwe
Cishe emasontweni amabili edlule, ngemva kokukhululwa kwe-PCE ephansi kunaleyo ebilindelwe (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index) ngo-Ephreli, imakethe yayihamba kahle.Kukholakala ukuthi kunezibonakaliso zakuqala ze-inflation ephakeme futhi abantu baqala ukulindela ukuthi idatha elandelayo ye-CPI ingaba emangalisayo, futhi.
Kodwa-ke, ngaphambi koLwesihlanu, u-JP Morgan uthe idatha ye-CPI ezayo izodlula okulindelwe emakethe.Lo mbiko ushabalalise amasu emakethe mayelana nokupholisa ukwehla kwamandla emali.
Amasheya ase-US awela kakhulu ezindabeni, futhi isivuno se-Treasury yeminyaka engu-10 saqhubeka sikhuphuka, siphula uphawu lwe-3%.
Okumangalisa nakakhulu ukuthi uMnyango Wezabasebenzi uthe ngoLwesihlanu inkomba yentengo yabathengi ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-8.6 ngoMeyi kusukela ngonyaka odlule, okungaphezulu kakhulu kwamaphesenti angu-8.3 imakethe eyayilindele.
Idatha ephakeme kunaleyo ebilindelwe ishabalalise ngokuphelele amaphupho okuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kungase kuhlehle maphakathi nonyaka.
Imakethe yamasheya yawela ku-"Black Friday", futhi isivuno se-treasury yeminyaka engu-10 yeqa ku-3.1%.
Umhlangano wale nyanga ngenani uzobanjwa ngoJuni 14, izikhulu ze-Fed zathi enkulumweni yokugcina enkulu ngaphambi kokungena esikhathini esithulile ukuthi noma ngabe izinga lenzalo lizoqhubeka likhuphuka ngamaphuzu angu-50 ngo-September kuzoxhomeka ekusebenzeni kwedatha ye-inflation.
Idatha yaseChicagoland ibonise amathuba angu-41.6% okukhula okuqhubekayo kwamaphuzu angu-50 ngoSepthemba ngemva nje kokukhishwa kwedatha yokwehla kwamandla emali.Kodwa-ke, kukhona ngisho namaphesenti angama-48.5 amathuba okuba anyuke ngamaphuzu angama-75 komunye wemihlangano emithathu elandelayo.
Imakethe icishe yanquma ukuthi naphezu kwezinyathelo eziningi ezithathwe yi-Fed, ingcindezi yokwehla kwamandla emali iya igxilile futhi iqhubeka nokukhuphuka: ukunyuka kwamazinga okuhlanya kuyeza.
Nokho ingabe lokhu kuyoba njalo ngempela?Kungani ukwehla kwamandla emali kunenkani kangaka naphezu kokuqina okungaka?
Ithemba liyavutha kancane
Izibalo eziyinhloko zokwehla kwamandla emali azinakwa abantu abaningi: Nakuba inqubomgomo yokuqinisa imali inyuse amanani, i-CPI ewumgogodla iye yabuyela emuva izinyanga ezimbili zilandelana.
I-CPI eyinhloko inkomba yentengo yomthengi engafaki amanani okudla namandla.Kuwumfanekiso oyiqiniso wendlela umnotho osebenza ngayo njengoba ungabandakanyi izintengo zempahla ekhuphuke okwesikhashana ngenxa yezizathu zokuhlinzeka.
Ukwenyuka sekukonke kwe-CPI kuholwa ikakhulukazi ukunyuka kwamanani entengo yamandla nokudla, okuyisizathu esikhulu esenza ukuthi i-CPI ewumgogodla yehluke kakhulu kumkhuba wokwehla kwamandla emali.
Ukuphenduka kungenzeka kuyeza
Kusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, ukungqubuzana kweRussia-Ukrainian kuye kwaholela ekwenyukeni kwentengo yamandla nokudla;ukuhlinzekwa kwezinto zokusetshenziswa kanye nezimpahla eziphakathi nendawo ezidingekayo ekukhiqizweni kwezimboni e-US ngaphansi kobhadane oluphindelelayo e-China alwanele, futhi ukushintshashintsha kwe-supply chain kuholele ekwenyukeni kwamanani ezimpahla.
Kodwa-ke, impi ayisoze yaba ithoni eyinhloko, futhi ukushoda kokuhlinzekwa okubangelwa ubhubhane kuyalulama kancane kancane, futhi inkambiso yesikhathi eside yamanani ekugcineni izobuyela endleleni efanele.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, abaphathi beBiden basanda kuqala ukuthatha isinyathelo sokunciphisa intela eChina.Amanani kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali yizona kanye izindaba ezibalulekile ezizonquma ukuthi abavoti bazovota kanjani okhethweni lwaphakathi nonyaka, futhi abaphathi be-Biden, abazama ukulawula ukwehla kwamandla emali ngempumelelo, kungenzeka baqede ezinye, ngisho nazo zonke izintela ezibekwe eChina.
Izinga eliphezulu lamanje lokwehla kwamandla emali lilawulwa hhayi kuphela ngokuqiniswa kwenqubomgomo yezimali, kodwa futhi nokunciphisa amanani entengo, okunganciphisa kakhulu izindleko zokuphila futhi ngaleyo ndlela kucindezele inkambiso yokwehla kwamandla emali.Ezinye izifundo ziphakamisa ukuthi ukuqedwa kwezintela ezengeziwe kuzokwehlisa ukukhula kwe-CPI kuze kufike kumaphesenti angu-3.4.
Lokhu kusho ukuthi i-Fed ngaleyo ndlela izothola isikhala esiningi senqubomgomo, futhi i-Fed izobe isibeka amabhuleki aqinisayo lapho kunokwehla okucacile kwamandla emali.
Sekukonke, nakuba ukwehla kwamandla emali nokwenyuka kwezinga okulindelekile kungekona ithemba elikhulu, asikho isidingo sokungabi nathemba kakhulu.
Kubalulekile ukwazi ukuthi ngemuva kokukhululwa kwemakethe, umzuzu omubi kakhulu kungenzeka ukuthi usudlulile.
Izinto zihlala ziba zimbi ngaphambi kokuba zibe ngcono.
Isitatimende: Lesi sihloko sihlelwe ngabakwa-AAA LENDINGS;ezinye zezithombe zithathwe ku-inthanethi, indawo yesayithi ayimelwe futhi ngeke iphinde iphrintwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukhona ubungozi emakethe futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kufanele kuqaphe.Lesi sihloko asihlanganisi iseluleko somuntu siqu sokutshala izimali, futhi asicabangi izinjongo ezithile zokutshala izimali, isimo sezezimali noma izidingo zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufanele bacabangele ukuthi noma imiphi imibono, imibono noma iziphetho eziqukethwe lapha zifanele isimo sabo esithile.Tshala imali ngokufanele ngokuzifaka engozini.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jun-17-2022