Ungayihumusha kanjani i-CPI ebhongayo ngaphezu kuka-9%
07/23/2022
Ulwazi Olubalulekile
NgoJulayi 13, uMnyango Wezabasebenzi wabika Inkomba Yamanani Abathengi kaJuni.
I-CPI ikhuphukela ku-9.1% ikhombisa ukwenyuka kwamandla emali okuqinile.Njengoba sonke sazi, i-Federal Reserve inyuse izinga lenzalo izikhathi ezintathu ohlwini lwakamuva.Ngomgomo oqinile kangaka wokuqinisa, kungani ukwehla kwamandla emali kuphinde kwafinyelela phezulu ngaphambili?Ingabe inqubomgomo yezimali ye-Federal Reserve yayingasebenzi ukubhekana nokwehla kwamandla emali?
Elinye iphuzu elibalulekile ukuthi i-Core CPI yehlela ku-5.9% isuka ku-6% wenyanga edlule, okuyinyanga yesithathu elandelanayo yokwehla kwe-Core CPI.
Uyini umehluko phakathi kwe-CPI ne-Core CPI?
I-CPI (Inkomba Yamanani Abathengi) iyisilinganiso sezibalo soshintsho lwentengo olwakhiwe kusetshenziswa amanani entengo emikhiqizo namasevisi ahlobene nempilo yansuku zonke yabantu, okuhlanganisa amandla, ukudla, izimpahla namasevisi njengesampula yezinto ezimele.Ushintsho lwamaphesenti onyaka ku-CPI lusetshenziswa njengesilinganiso sokwehla kwamandla emali.I-Core Consumer Price Index ikala izinguquko enanini lezimpahla namasevisi, ngaphandle kokudla namandla.
Ake sichaze umqondo lapha-Ukuguquguquka kwesidingo.
Abantu abanandaba kakhulu namanani okudla namandla,
okusho nje ukuthi abanciphisi kakhulu noma ngabe lezo ntengo zenyuka kakhulu.
I-Core CPI, ngakolunye uhlangothi, isho ukuguquguquka kwesidingo esikhulu sezimpahla namasevisi.Lapho amanani enyuka, abantu nakanjani bazonciphisa ukusebenzisa kwabo ukuthenga nezinye izinkonzo.Ngakho-ke, i-Core CPI ibonisa isimo samanani ngokunembe kakhudlwana.
Nokho, ukuhlukana okunjalo phakathi kwe-CPI ne-Core CPI
ngokuvamile azihlali isikhathi eside, ekugcineni zizohlangana.
Ukuthambekela kokwehla okuqhubekayo kwe-Core CPI kufakazela futhi ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo ye-Federal Reserve kwasebenza kahle ekwehleni kwamandla emali.
Yiba sishaye i-inflation ephezulu?
Ezinyangeni ezintathu ezedlule, i-CPI ibiqhutshwa ikakhulukazi ukudla namandla.Selokhu kuqale unyaka, amanani okudla nowoyela akhuphuka ngenxa yokuntengantenga kwe-supply chain, nokho ukwehla kwamandla emali okubangelwa ukuhlinzekwa kwempahla akukwazi ukuxazululwa ngokukhuphula izinga lenzalo kuphela.
Kubikwa ukuthi iRussia ne-Ukraine bazolindela ukufinyelela esivumelwaneni mayelana nokuthunyelwa kokusanhlamvu ngesonto elizayo, okungenzeka kudambise inkinga yokudla emhlabeni jikelele.Inkomba Yamanani Okudla idalulwe yiNhlangano Yezokudla Nezolimo yeNhlangano Yezizwe Ezihlangene nayo yehle ngoNhlangulana futhi izobonakala emananini okudla e-CPI.
Ukwehla kwakamuva kwamanani kawoyela ongahluziwe kuphinde kwehlise ingcindezi emikhiqizweni kawoyela ocolisisiwe, kanti amanani kaphethiloli abehle kakhulu kule nyanga edlule, kanti kulindeleke ukuthi ehle nakakhulu.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, okulindelwe ngabathengi base-US ekukhuleni kwezindleko zasendlini ezinyangeni ezizayo ze-12 kwehle ngoJuni, ngokusho kocwaningo lwe-Federal Reserve olukhishwe ngoJulayi 11, olubikezela nokwehla okuzayo kwesidingo.
Ukufingqa, njengoba isidingo senziwe buthaka futhi ukunikezwa kudambisiwe, i-Federal Reserve ingase ibone "ukwehla kwamandla emali okucacile" engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.
Ukukhuphuka kwezinga nokuncishiswa kwezinga okulindelwe kukhuphuka ndawonye
Ukwehla kwamandla emali kaJuni kudlulele ngaphezu kwalokho obekulindelwe yimakethe, okungase kuholele esinqumweni esinzima kakhulu seFederal Reserve ngokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo engama-75 ngoJulayi.
Manje okulindeleke ezimakethe zokukhuphuka kwezinga le-Fed Funds okungenzeka ukuthi linyuke lamaphesenti aphelele lakhuphukela ku-68%, elalisondele ku-0% ngosuku olwedlule.
Kodwa-ke, ngokulindelwe ngobusuku obubodwa bokwenyuka kwezinga le-Fed kulo nyaka okukhuphuka ngokushesha, okulindelekile kokuncishiswa kwamanani okulandelayo nakho kuye kwanda.
Izimakethe manje zilindele ukuncishiswa kwamaphoyinti afinyelela kwangu-100 phakathi nonyaka kusukela ngoFebhuwari, ngokuncishiswa kwekota ngekota yokuqala kakade sekunentengo ephelele.
Ngamanye amazwi, i-Fed cishe izonyusa amanani enzalo ngaphezu kwalokho obekulindelwe engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka, kodwa ukuncishiswa kwamanani kuzofika futhi ekuqaleni konyaka ozayo.
Isitatimende: Lesi sihloko sihlelwe ngabakwa-AAA LENDINGS;ezinye zezithombe zithathwe ku-inthanethi, indawo yesayithi ayimelwe futhi ngeke iphinde iphrintwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukhona ubungozi emakethe futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kufanele kuqaphe.Lesi sihloko asihlanganisi iseluleko somuntu siqu sokutshala izimali, futhi asicabangi izinjongo ezithile zokutshala izimali, isimo sezezimali noma izidingo zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufanele bacabangele ukuthi noma imiphi imibono, imibono noma iziphetho eziqukethwe lapha zifanele isimo sabo esithile.Tshala imali ngokufanele ngokuzifaka engozini.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jul-23-2022